

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Parma take a form score of 4.8 out of 10 into this Serie A fixture, against 4.4 for Genoa. Parma have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Genoa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Parma average 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Genoa 0.9 and 1.2. Parma have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Genoa in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Parma have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3. Parma sit 15th on 0 points, Genoa 7th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Parma and Genoa meet on Sunday in Serie A with both sides entering the new campaign on identical weighted form scores of 4 out of 10, a patchy return that reflects underwhelming recent records. Each has managed just 1 win from their last 5 matches, with Parma collecting 2 draws and 2 defeats while Genoa mirror that split exactly. The hosts scored 4 and conceded 5 across that span, finding the net in 3 of 5 and keeping 2 clean sheets. Genoa managed 5 goals and shipped 6, also scoring in 3 of 5 but recording only 1 clean sheet. Both totals include two summer friendlies apiece, and while those carry less weight than competitive fixtures, they hint at sides still finding their rhythm after the break.
Parma's season ended with a narrow 1-0 home win over Sassuolo on 24 May 2026, a result that briefly lifted them before two summer stalemates, first 1-1 away to Trento and then 0-0 away to Sassuolo, both club friendlies. Before that closing victory they had suffered back-to-back defeats, losing 0-1 away to Como on 17 May and 2-3 at home to AS Roma on 10 May, a match in which they scored twice but could not hold on. The goals profile shows a side capable of finding the net but vulnerable at the back, conceding in 3 of their 5 matches and managing clean sheets only in the two friendlies. Across those games the hosts have lacked the cutting edge to turn draws into wins, a pattern that may prove decisive against similarly inconsistent opposition.
Genoa's summer began with a 2-2 home draw against Vicenza Virtus on 25 July, followed by a 2-1 home win over Trento on 19 July, both club friendlies that offered little more than fitness. Their competitive run-in told a harder story: a 0-1 away loss to Lecce on 24 May, a 1-2 home defeat to AC Milan on 17 May, and a 0-0 away draw at Fiorentina on 10 May. That single point from 3 Serie A fixtures underlines a team that struggled to close out the previous campaign, managing just 1 clean sheet in 5 and conceding 6 goals overall. The visitors have scored in 3 of 5, the same frequency as Parma, but the lack of defensive solidity cost them repeatedly in the spring.
The head to head record across the last 10 meetings shows Parma with 4 wins to Genoa's 3, plus 3 draws, and an average of 2.7 goals per match. Both teams scored in 5 of 10, and 5 of 10 went over 2.5 goals, suggesting this fixture can produce chances at either end. The most recent five encounters, however, paint a different picture entirely. The sides met twice in early 2026, drawing 0-0 at home on 18 January and 0-0 away on 19 October 2025. Before that Genoa won 1-0 at home on 12 January 2025 and 0-1 away on 4 November 2024, with Parma's last victory in the sequence a 2-0 home win on 5 February 2023. Four of those five itemised matches produced one goal or fewer, a marked shift from the broader average and a sign that recent meetings have tightened into low-scoring affairs.
With form scores level at 4 out of 10 and neither side showing consistent goalscoring or defensive authority, Sunday's contest looks set to hinge on which team can break the recent stalemate trend. Parma's 2 clean sheets in 5 offer a slight edge in defensive stability, but Genoa's away record at Fiorentina and the pattern of recent 0-0 and 1-0 results between these sides suggest goals may again prove scarce. The head to head data points to a match decided by fine margins, and with both squads still working through pre-season rust, a repeat of those tight, low-scoring encounters remains the likeliest outcome.
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