

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Pisa take a form score of 2.5 out of 10 into this Serie B fixture, against 4.2 for Virtus Entella. Pisa have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Virtus Entella have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Pisa average 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, Virtus Entella 0.9 and 1.2. Pisa have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Virtus Entella in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Pisa have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4. Pisa sit 5th on 0 points, Virtus Entella 20th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Pisa begin their Serie B campaign carrying worrying signs from pre-season, their last five fixtures producing just 1 win alongside 3 defeats and leaving them with a Formatic form score of 2.89 out of 10. The hosts conceded 8 goals across those five matches and failed to register a single clean sheet, defensive fragility that will concern them heading into the new second-tier season. Their attacking output totalled 8 goals over the same span, but 6 of those arrived in one fixture, leaving them with just 2 across the other four matches and underlining the feast-or-famine nature of their recent work.
Virtus Entella arrive with a marginally better form score of 4.22 out of 10, rated patchy rather than poor, but their profile shows similar inconsistency. Their last five produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 5 with a solitary clean sheet in the 1-0 home win over Padova on 25 April. More recently, a pre-season friendly defeat by the same 0-1 scoreline at Empoli on 25 July offered little to suggest the visitors have sharpened over the summer break. They scored in 3 of their last 5 but managed only 4 goals across that run, an average below one per outing that suggests they will need tighter margins to collect points.
The head to head record across the last 10 meetings tilts 4 wins to 2 in favour of Virtus Entella, with 4 draws filling the gaps and an average of 2.2 goals per fixture. Both sides scored in 5 of those 10, while only 3 crossed the 2.5 goal line, indicating the contests have typically been tight rather than open. The five itemised meetings span from July 2020 to July 2022 and show Pisa winning the most recent encounter 2-0 in a friendly on 30 July 2022, though Virtus Entella claimed two emphatic wins earlier in the sequence, 3-1 on 27 October 2020 and 2-1 on 22 January 2021. Pisa also edged a higher-scoring battle 3-2 on 10 May 2021, while a 1-1 draw on 13 July 2020 completed the set of itemised results.
With Pisa's form score lagging 1.33 points behind their opponents and both sides managing fewer than two goals per game over their recent sample, the opening weekend of Serie B looks set to hinge on defensive organisation rather than attacking fluency. Pisa's inability to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 5 will embolden visitors who have shown they can win narrow contests, while Virtus Entella's modest scoring rate keeps the home side within range if they can rediscover the attacking rhythm that deserted them in all but one pre-season outing. The head to head pattern of close scorelines and relatively low totals aligns with two teams whose current form profiles suggest they are still finding their sharpness, and the market will likely reflect the narrow gap between two sides entering the campaign with questions to answer.
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