

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Rangers take a form score of 5.8 out of 10 into this Scottish Premiership fixture, against 6.7 for St Mirren. Rangers have 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 4, while St Mirren have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Rangers average 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, St Mirren 2.1 and 1.1. Rangers have kept a clean sheet in 11% of their matches this season, St Mirren in 40%. In their last 10 meetings Rangers have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2. Rangers sit 11th on 0 points, St Mirren 7th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Rangers welcome St Mirren with the form table presenting an unexpected picture. The visitors carry a weighted last-five score of 6.67 out of 10, rated strong, while Rangers sit at 5.78, a gap of 0.89 in St Mirren's favour. That reverses the historical pattern between these sides, where Rangers hold 6 wins from the last 10 meetings against St Mirren's 2, with 2 draws completing the sequence. The head to head average sits at 2.4 goals per meeting, with both teams scoring in 6 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in 5 of 10.
Rangers have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across their last 4 outings, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They found the net in 3 of those 4 but kept a clean sheet in only 1. The run includes a 5-2 win away to Falkirk in the Premiership on 16 May and a 2-1 home victory over Saint Etienne in a friendly on 22 July, but also a 1-2 home defeat to Hibernian on 13 May and a goalless draw with West Ham in a friendly on 26 July. The attacking return of 8 goals across 4 matches suggests consistent threat, yet the defensive record of 5 conceded shows vulnerability that St Mirren will look to exploit.
St Mirren arrive with 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5, having scored 16 and conceded 6. They scored in 4 of 5 and recorded 2 clean sheets. That loss came 0-1 at home to Dunfermline in the League Cup on 26 July, but before it they posted three consecutive 4-goal hauls: 4-3 at home to East Kilbride on 21 July, 4-0 away to Cove Rangers on 18 July, and 4-0 away to Dumbarton on 11 July, all in the League Cup. The strike rate of 16 goals in 5 matches is exceptional, albeit built largely against lower-league opposition in cup competition. The question is whether that momentum translates against Premiership opposition with a far superior head to head record.
The five most recent meetings between these sides show Rangers winning three, St Mirren winning once and one draw. Rangers took the fixture 1-0 away on 15 March 2026, won 2-1 at home on 30 December 2025, and the pair drew 1-1 on 24 August 2025 and 2-2 on 26 April 2025. St Mirren's sole win in that sample came 2-0 on 22 February 2025. Every one of those five fixtures saw at least one goal, and four of the five produced exactly 2 total goals, suggesting tight contests rather than open affairs. Rangers' historical edge is clear, but St Mirren's current form score and firepower of 16 goals in 5 matches cannot be dismissed. The head to head pattern of 2.4 goals per meeting and both teams scoring in 6 of 10 points toward a competitive encounter, with Rangers' home advantage offset by St Mirren's sharper recent run. The gap between Rangers' steady 5.78 form rating and St Mirren's strong 6.67 may prove decisive if the visitors carry their attacking rhythm into Premiership action.
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