

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Real Sociedad B take a form score of 4.2 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 6.0 for Tenerife. Real Sociedad B have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Tenerife have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Real Sociedad B average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Tenerife 2.1 and 0.8. Real Sociedad B have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Tenerife in 50%. In their last 2 meetings Real Sociedad B have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2. Real Sociedad B sit 14th on 0 points, Tenerife 5th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tenerife arrive at this Segunda División opener having won both previous meetings between these sides, taking all six points by 2-0 and 2-1 scorelines in the 2021-22 campaign. Real Sociedad B have yet to register a point in this head to head, and the fixtures have averaged 2.5 goals with both teams finding the net in one of the two encounters. That historical edge gives the visitors a psychological platform, though the sample remains small and the gulf in recent league status means the context has shifted considerably since those last meetings over four years ago.
Real Sociedad B's pre-season has been mixed, delivering 8 goals and conceding 8 across five outings split between friendlies and the tail end of competitive Segunda División football. They took 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from that stretch, scoring in 4 of the 5 matches but managing only 1 clean sheet. The 4-0 friendly win over PAU offered encouragement in late July, yet that followed a 2-0 loss at Burgos and came against non-league opposition. Their three competitive fixtures before that produced a 1-1 draw with Cultural Leonesa, a 3-1 defeat at Albacete and a 2-2 stalemate with Mirandes, a run that underlines inconsistency at both ends. Formatic's weighted form score of 4.22 out of 10 captures that patchiness and suggests a side still searching for rhythm.
Tenerife have been sharper in preparation, posting 3 wins from 5 while scoring 14 and conceding just 4. They kept 3 clean sheets in that span and found the net in every match, a record that includes competitive fixtures in the third tier and a trio of friendlies. The 6-0 demolition of Marino and the 3-0 win over their own B team were pre-season run-outs, but the 3-0 home victory against Pontevedra in May was earned in Primera División RFEF and carried greater weight. A 2-1 home friendly loss to top-flight Getafe and a 2-1 defeat at Ourense CF keep the record grounded, yet Tenerife's steady form score of 6 out of 10 reflects a side in noticeably better order. The 1.78-point gap in Formatic's form metric is significant and aligns with the attacking output, Tenerife averaging close to three goals per match while Real Sociedad B have managed less than two.
The goals profile tilts toward an open contest. Both sides have scored in four or five of their recent fixtures, and Tenerife's defensive solidity in pre-season contrasts with Real Sociedad B's tendency to leak goals even in drawn matches. The head to head went over 2.5 goals once in two, and both teams scored in one of those meetings, but Tenerife's current attacking form and the hosts' defensive fragility suggest more entertainment this time. Real Sociedad B have conceded in 4 of their last 5, while Tenerife have scored in all 5, a combination that points toward the visitors finding space. The raw data favours Tenerife to extend their unbeaten run in this fixture and exploit a home side still bedding in after a patchy summer.
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