Celta Vigo carry an excellent weighted form score of 8.22 out of 10 into this encounter, while Real Sociedad register 6.89 out of 10, a form gap of 1.33 in the visitors' favour. That spread reflects sharply divergent pre-season trajectories: Celta Vigo are unbeaten across their last 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws, conceding only 3 goals in that sequence, while Real Sociedad have been more porous, shipping 6 goals across the same sample despite posting 2 wins and 2 draws of their own. The hosts scored 8 times in those 5 outings and found the net in 4 of them, yet failed to keep a single clean sheet, underlining a vulnerability that Celta Vigo's recent defensive solidity is well placed to exploit.

They beat Sporting Gijon 1-0 and Academico Viseu by the same margin before the break, bookending a 2-2 draw away to SC Braga that represents their only match in the sample where they conceded more than once. The visitors have scored in all 5 of those fixtures, a consistency Real Sociedad cannot claim despite their higher goal tally. The hosts won 4-2 at Aston Villa and 2-1 at Wolves in friendlies, but also drew 1-1 at home to Racing Santander and lost 1-0 to PAU on home soil, results that reveal a side still searching for rhythm in the final third and struggling to shut opponents out.

Over a 7-match sample across all competitions, Celta Vigo average 7.1 shots and 3.1 shots on target per game, generating 1.23 expected goals per outing with 46.1 percent possession. They have kept clean sheets in 40 percent of those matches and failed to score in only 10 percent, a profile that marries defensive organisation with reliable goal threat. Real Sociedad's season profile is not provided in isolation, but their recent results suggest a side that can score freely but cannot hold leads, a pattern that handed them only 2 wins from 5 despite scoring 8 times. The absence of a single clean sheet in that run stands in direct contrast to Celta Vigo's 3 shutouts from the same number of matches.

The head to head ledger across the last 10 meetings reads 5 wins for Real Sociedad, 2 for Celta Vigo and 3 draws, with 2.1 goals per meeting and both teams scoring in 6 of 10. However, the most recent five encounters offer a more nuanced picture. Real Sociedad won 3-1 at home in January 2026, but the sides drew 1-1 when Celta Vigo hosted in October 2025. Before that, Celta Vigo claimed a 1-0 away win in May 2025 and a 2-0 home victory in December 2024, a pair of results that demonstrate their capacity to stifle Real Sociedad on both grounds. Real Sociedad did win 2-1 away in January 2024, yet the pattern over the itemised sample is one of tight margins and sporadic goals, with only 3 of the last 10 meetings producing over 2.5 goals.

Real Sociedad enjoy home advantage and a superior head to head record, but the live form tells a different story. Celta Vigo arrive unbeaten, defensively compact and scoring consistently, while the hosts have leaked goals in every recent outing and managed only 2 wins from 5. The 1.33 form gap is significant, the visitors' 3 clean sheets in 5 matches contrast sharply with Real Sociedad's none, and Celta Vigo's ability to win tight games is on display in their last 5 results. The numbers point toward a cagey fixture in which Celta Vigo's defensive discipline and superior current form give them a clear edge, particularly if Real Sociedad's inability to keep clean sheets persists.