

Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.
Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Sabadell strong, Andorra mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Sabadell take a form score of 6.5 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 2.5 for Andorra. Sabadell have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Andorra have 1 win and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Sabadell average 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Andorra 1.3 and 1.9. Sabadell have kept a clean sheet in 44% of their matches this season, Andorra in 20%. In their last 5 meetings Sabadell have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3. Sabadell sit 7th on 12 points, Andorra 17th on 6.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
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