Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Stoke City
Form comparisonMiddlesbrough
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Stoke City mixed, Middlesbrough mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 21 Jan 2026Stoke City1-2Middlesbrough
- 30 Sept 2025Middlesbrough0-0Stoke City
- 25 Feb 2025Stoke City1-3Middlesbrough
- 28 Sept 2024Middlesbrough2-0Stoke City
- 27 Aug 2024Middlesbrough0-5Stoke City
- 19 Sept 2026vsSheffield Utd2-1W
- 12 Sept 2026vsWatford1-2W
- 08 Sept 2026vsCardiff1-1D
- 05 Sept 2026vsCharlton4-0W
- 01 Sept 2026vsNorwich1-0W
- 19 Sept 2026vsBirmingham2-2D
- 15 Sept 2026vsMillwall2-2D
- 12 Sept 2026vsNorwich4-3W
- 08 Sept 2026vsCrystal Palace3-0L
- 05 Sept 2026vsQPR0-1W
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: form and season numbers
Stoke City take a form score of 5.8 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 6.0 for Middlesbrough. Stoke City have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, while Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Stoke City average 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Middlesbrough 1.9 and 1.6. Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Middlesbrough in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Stoke City have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4. Stoke City sit 7th on 13 points, Middlesbrough 3rd on 15.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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