Tenerife welcome Almería to what has been a graveyard fixture for the hosts, with the visitors winning 8 of the last 10 meetings and Tenerife claiming just 1 victory across that span. The most recent five encounters tell an even starker story: Almería have won all five, including a 2-0 success on 1 June 2025 and narrow 1-0 margins in August 2024 and March 2022. That historical weight sits heavily over a fixture where 2.4 goals per meeting has been the average and both teams scored in only 5 of those 10 contests, suggesting tight margins rather than open exchanges.

Tenerife arrive with a 6 out of 10 form rating across five matches, three of them friendlies and two competitive outings from the tail end of their previous campaign in Primera División RFEF. Those five produced 3 wins and 2 defeats, 14 goals scored and 4 conceded, with clean sheets in 3 of the 5 and a scoring run that stretches across all five fixtures. The eye-catching 6-0 victory away to Marino on 26 July and the 3-0 home win over Tenerife II four days earlier were both pre-season exercises, while the competitive record shows a 3-0 home success against Pontevedra on 17 May sandwiched by a 1-2 loss at Ourense CF on 23 May. A 1-2 home friendly defeat to Getafe on 22 July adds a note of caution to what otherwise looks like sharp preparation.

Almería's profile is more compact: 5.56 out of 10 across their last five, which comprised four competitive Segunda División fixtures and one friendly. Across those matches they recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5, with clean sheets in 2 of the 5 and goals in 4 of them. The competitive run included a 3-2 home win over Castellón on 9 June, a 1-1 draw away to the same opponents three days earlier, a goalless stalemate away to Malaga on 14 June and a 1-2 home loss to Malaga on 20 June. A 1-0 friendly win away to Águilas on 25 July rounds out the sample. The form gap of 0.44 in Tenerife's favour is marginal, but the attacking output gap is clear: 14 for the hosts versus 6 for the visitors.

The goals profile across the head to head has been lean, with only 4 of 10 meetings clearing 2.5 goals and both teams finding the net in exactly half the sample. Almería's recent Segunda División record suggests a side still calibrating after the end of their campaign, while Tenerife's friendlies have been goalfests that may not translate directly into competitive sharpness. The historical pattern points emphatically toward Almería, but the form data and pre-season scoring suggest Tenerife are better equipped than their 1 win in 10 suggests. The decisive variable is likely to be whether Tenerife's recent attacking volume, 14 goals across five outings, can hold up against a side that has conceded just 5 in the same sample and has delivered clean sheets in 2 of those 5 matches.