

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Vicenza Virtus take a form score of 4.7 out of 10 into this Serie B fixture, against 5.6 for Juve Stabia. Vicenza Virtus have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Juve Stabia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Vicenza Virtus average 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Juve Stabia 1.4 and 1.1. Vicenza Virtus have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Juve Stabia in 30%. Vicenza Virtus sit 2nd on 0 points, Juve Stabia 11th on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Vicenza Virtus begin their Serie B campaign against Juve Stabia with a form gap of 0.89 separating the sides in favour of the visitors, a modest but measurable deficit built across their respective recent runs. Vicenza score 4.67 out of 10 on Formatic's weighted form index, a patchy return shaped by a mix of competitive results from their Serie C schedule and a pre-season friendly draw. Juve Stabia register 5.56 out of 10, a steady profile carried forward from the tail end of their Serie B season and bolstered by summer work.
Vicenza's last five fixtures delivered 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 14 goals scored and 9 conceded across that sample. The goal output is striking but uneven in context: a 6-1 win away to Triestina and a 5-2 victory away to Arezzo in the Serie C Supercoppa Lega Finals accounted for 11 of those 14, while a 1-4 home reverse against Benevento in the same competition exposed defensive vulnerability when the opposition raised the tempo. A 0-0 home draw with Pergolettese in Serie C Girone A and a 2-2 friendly stalemate away to Genoa complete the sequence. Vicenza found the net in 4 of those 5 outings but managed just 1 clean sheet, a pattern that suggests openness at both ends when the game flows.
Juve Stabia's five-match run shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 9 scored and 5 conceded. All five matches saw them score, and they kept 2 clean sheets in the process, a more disciplined defensive record than their hosts. Competitive Serie B fixtures against Monza produced a 2-2 home draw and a 1-2 away defeat in May, sandwiched around a 1-0 win away to Modena and a 1-1 draw away to Sudtirol. A 4-0 pre-season win away to Potenza added weight to the sample without the competitive edge of league football. The goals profile is tighter than Vicenza's, with no single fixture exceeding four and a more controlled tempo evident across the set.
The contrasting profiles point toward a contest shaped by Vicenza's attacking variance against Juve Stabia's steadier foundation. Vicenza's 14 goals across five matches dwarf Stabia's 9, yet the 9 conceded compared to 5 tilts the defensive balance firmly toward the visitors. Stabia's unbroken scoring run across all five outings, paired with their ability to shut out opponents twice, suggests a side capable of controlling proceedings without needing to chase the game. Vicenza's clean sheet drought beyond one fixture in five and their tendency to ship goals even in victories implies that Stabia's patience may be rewarded if they avoid the kind of wide-open exchanges that produced a 6-1 and a 5-2 for the hosts in recent weeks. The form gap of 0.89 is not a chasm, but the underlying data supports it: one side has carried competitive rhythm into the summer, the other has pieced together a patchwork from different competitions and a friendly. Where the value sits in this one depends on whether Vicenza's firepower or Stabia's structure proves the stronger currency when Serie B begins in earnest.
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