

Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Vitoria mixed, Atletico Paranaense mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Vitoria take a form score of 3.5 out of 10 into this Brasileirao fixture, against 6.1 for Atletico Paranaense. Vitoria have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5, while Atletico Paranaense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Vitoria average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, Atletico Paranaense 1.7 and 1.7. Vitoria have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Atletico Paranaense in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Vitoria have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7. Vitoria sit 13th on 33 points, Atletico Paranaense 3rd on 49.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram