Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Watford
Form comparisonBurnley
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Watford strong, Burnley strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 18 Apr 2025Watford1-2Burnley
- 21 Dec 2024Burnley2-1Watford
- 14 Feb 2023Burnley1-1Watford
- 12 Aug 2022Watford1-0Burnley
- 30 Apr 2022Watford1-2Burnley
- 18 Sept 2026vsBristol City1-0L
- 12 Sept 2026vsStoke City1-2L
- 08 Sept 2026vsPreston2-1W
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Brom1-0L
- 01 Sept 2026vsSwansea2-0L
- 19 Sept 2026vsDerby1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsSwansea3-1L
- 08 Sept 2026vsWrexham1-1D
- 05 Sept 2026vsBristol City1-2L
- 02 Sept 2026vsMiddlesbrough1-1D
Watford vs Burnley: form and season numbers
Watford take a form score of 3.2 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 3.4 for Burnley. Watford have 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5, while Burnley have 3 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Watford average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Burnley 1.0 and 1.8. Watford have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Burnley in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Watford have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5. Watford sit 20th on 8 points, Burnley 24th on 4.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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