Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Watford
Form comparisonMiddlesbrough
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Watford strong, Middlesbrough mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 25 Apr 2026Middlesbrough5-1Watford
- 01 Nov 2025Watford3-0Middlesbrough
- 15 Feb 2025Middlesbrough0-1Watford
- 05 Oct 2024Watford2-1Middlesbrough
- 04 May 2024Middlesbrough3-1Watford
- 18 Sept 2026vsBristol City1-0L
- 12 Sept 2026vsStoke City1-2L
- 08 Sept 2026vsPreston2-1W
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Brom1-0L
- 01 Sept 2026vsSwansea2-0L
- 19 Sept 2026vsBirmingham2-2D
- 15 Sept 2026vsMillwall2-2D
- 12 Sept 2026vsNorwich4-3W
- 08 Sept 2026vsCrystal Palace3-0L
- 05 Sept 2026vsQPR0-1W
Watford vs Middlesbrough: form and season numbers
Watford take a form score of 3.2 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 6.0 for Middlesbrough. Watford have 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5, while Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Watford average 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Middlesbrough 1.9 and 1.6. Watford have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Middlesbrough in 10%. In their last 10 meetings Watford have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4. Watford sit 20th on 8 points, Middlesbrough 3rd on 15.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
Every pick is posted to the free Telegram channel before kickoff and the full record stays public, win or lose.
Join the free Telegram