Werder Bremen carry an excellent form rating of 8 out of 10 into this fixture, a gulf of 3.33 points clear of Augsburg's patchy 4.67. That gap is built on contrasting trajectories through pre-season and the close of competitive action: Bremen have won 3 of their last 5 outings, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 5, while Augsburg's recent sample reads 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat with 8 scored and 8 conceded. The hosts have registered clean sheets in 2 of those 5 matches, including a 2-0 win at home to VfL Bochum and a 6-2 away victory at Verden 04, though both arrived in club friendlies. Augsburg have not kept a single clean sheet in their last 5 games and shipped 4 goals away to Union Berlin in their most recent competitive outing, though they did take 3 points at home to Borussia Mönchengladbach with a 3-1 win before that.

The recent form picture contrasts sharply with the head-to-head record over the last 10 meetings, where Augsburg hold a 5-3 win advantage with 2 draws. Augsburg won the most recent encounter 3-1 at Bremen on 2 May 2026, and the previous three fixtures before that split two Augsburg victories, including a 2-0 away win on 19 January 2025, around a pair of draws. Bremen's last win in this series came on 27 April 2024, when they prevailed 3-0 away from home. Across those 10 meetings the average is 2.3 goals per game, with both teams scoring in just 3 of 10 and over 2.5 goals landing in 4 of 10. The recent sequence has tilted toward the visitors, but the sample shows this fixture can close up: two of the itemised meetings finished 0-0 and 0-2, neither offering goals at both ends.

Augsburg's 9-match season profile reveals a side averaging 13.7 shots and 5.2 on target per game, generating 1.73 expected goals with 38.8 percent possession. They have failed to score in 20 percent of fixtures and have not recorded a clean sheet in any of those 9 outings, a defensive fragility that sits uncomfortably against Bremen's recent attacking output of 10 goals in 5 games. Bremen found the net in 3 of those 5 matches, though they were shut out in both of their final competitive fixtures before the break, losing 2-0 at home to Borussia Dortmund and 1-0 away to 1899 Hoffenheim.

The form gap points heavily toward the hosts, but the head-to-head pattern and Augsburg's ability to score in 4 of their last 5 games suggest Bremen will need to convert their recent momentum into a result that has eluded them in three of the past four meetings. The defensive numbers offer the clearest route: Augsburg concede regularly, Bremen have shown they can keep opponents out, and the visitors' failure to record a single clean sheet in their last 5 matches leaves them exposed if the hosts sustain the attacking rhythm that produced 6 goals in one friendly outing alone. This fixture turns on whether Bremen can impose that recent sharpness on a side that has historically had the upper hand but arrives in inconsistent shape.