Top picks of the day
One top pick per match, on every match we cover. The model publishes three cards on a fixture: a Match Result, a goals line, and a third card that rotates to the longest price still clearing its confidence bar, which is regularly Draw No Bet, Double Chance or both teams to score. The card it gives the highest probability is flagged as that fixture's top pick. This page lists all of today's, across every league with fixtures on the board, so what you see is the whole slate rather than one selection chosen out of it after the fact. The record behind them is public and updated as results settle: 4,584 wins from 7,132 settled top picks, a strike rate of 64.3%. Every result is recorded whether it wins or loses, broken down by month, league and market on the stats page, and the complete picks log is downloadable as a CSV so you can recompute that number yourself rather than taking our word for it.
Today's picks
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Frequently asked
- How is a top pick chosen?
- Every match gets three cards. The one the model gives the highest probability becomes that match's top pick, and the database physically refuses to store a second one on the same fixture. No manual override, no shortlist.
- How many top picks are there in a day?
- One per match, so the count is whatever the fixture list gives us: dozens on a full weekend, a handful in a quiet midweek. We do not cut the slate down to a single hero pick, because choosing which of our own picks to show you is how records get flattered.
- What's the top pick hit rate?
- 64.3%: 4,584 wins from 7,132 settled top picks. Every result is tracked at /stats and the full log is downloadable.
- Is a top pick always a favourite?
- No. Selection takes the longest price on the card that still clears its confidence bar, so the top pick is regularly not the shortest option available, and the confidence score is the model's own probability rather than anything read off the price.